Mud, rain, and flooding possible from Thursday

The presence of an anticyclone that still dominates large areas of the Peninsula and that leaves temperatures rising will break this Thursday with the possible formation of a DANA. If eltiempo.com’s forecasts come true, the front will cause a drop in the mercury in almost all thermometers and precipitation in several areas of the country, especially in the Gulf of Cádiz and the Strait.

Forecasters believe that “a DANA will cross Spain this Thursday with heavy rains and storms, accompanied by hail and mud.” For his part, meteorologist David Gómez explains on his “It is likely that the precipitation will pass more quickly and violently.”

Ángel Rivera, who worked for years for the State Meteorological Agency (Aemet), agrees with him. In his opinion, “it is probably technically a DANA”, although no major rainfall is expected, except in some parts of Andalusia, “where they could be more intense locally.”

Aemet spokesperson, Cayetano Torres, says, “Looking ahead to Thursday, the situation becomes more Atlantic, with flow from the west, in such a way that we expect a special front to enter that will especially affect the northwest of the Peninsula, with moderate rainfall that throughout the day will affect the northern half of the peninsula”.

During the day, temperatures are expected to rise in the interior of the eastern half of the peninsula and Aemet predicts that a tongue of suspended dust will cross the Peninsula from west to east. This will cause possible mud showers caused by suspended dust from Africa.

In the Peninsula and the Balearic Islands, cloudy skies will predominate and there will be precipitation, occasionally in the form of showers, in the western half of the peninsula. The rains may extend, with less probability, to large areas of the eastern half of the peninsula, without expecting them in the Balearic Islands. They could be locally strong and accompanied by a storm in the western half of Andalusia. In the Canary Islands. Intervals of clouds are expected, and weak precipitation is not ruled out on the islands with greater relief.

Morning fogs or mists are probable in the northwest of Castilla y León, the Balearic Islands and in the Ebro, in its upper and lower reaches. A tongue of suspended dust is also expected to cross the Peninsula from west to east.

The water brought by this front can be very positive for the poor situation of the reservoirs. The bad news is that the rain is not going to reach Catalonia or other areas of the Mediterranean that are in great need, but in the case of the swamps of the province of Seville, for example, the reserves have grown up to 43% because in three days, about 100 litres were collected in the province, more than the entire month of January.

While waiting for rains in the northeast, the only basin that has lowered its level of reserves in the last week is the one that supplies Barcelona. There are three tenths less and it remains at 15%, the lowest mark in all of Spain. In the rest of the basins, including all of Andalusia and Murcia, the Karlotta storm has raised the swamps by an average of 1%, although the Guadalete and Segura rivers and the Almería and Málaga reservoirs still do not reach 20% of their total capacity.

The island of Menorca is in a pre-drought situation and Formentera is already on alert. In the Sierra de Huelva, the Andalusian Government has limited water consumption to 200 litres per person per day.

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